Real Estate Information Archive


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Housing Crisis Over? Hmmm.......

by Jeremy Larkin

I just came across a very interesing Wall Street Journal opinion column titled as much: "The Housing Crisis Is Over," stating that April 2008 may have been the "bottom" of housing crash that started in late 2005. A pretty wild healine indeed, yet if you take the time to read it I think you will see that this guy's opinion is largely based on fundamentals, not just the wishful thinking of another housing crash victim.

Let's just say that he is right.....prices should start coming back, right? Not so, says the writer: "For starters, a bottom does not mean that prices are about to return to the heady days of 2005. That probably won't happen for another 15 years. It just means that the trend is no longer getting worse, which is the critical factor."

His logic is based on the following key points:

  • The current housing bust is nearly three years old (no longer a new thing)
  • New home sales are down a staggering 63% from peak levels of 1.4 million & ousing starts have fallen more than 50% and, adjusted for population growth, are back to the trough levels of 1982.
  • Residential construction is close to 15-year lows at 3.8% of GDP; by the fourth quarter of this year, it will probably hit the lowest level ever.
  • The very same thing that caused the bust will bring it back to life: Affordability. 

"Mortgage rates have come down 70 basis points from their highs. As a result, it now takes 19% of monthly income for the average home buyer, and 31% of monthly income for the first-time home buyer, to purchase a house. In other words, homes on average are back to being as affordable as during the best of times in the 1990s. Numerous households that had been priced out of the market can now afford to get in."

I see some major logic in this guy's argument, and he certainly supports my personal theories that even if sales do increase, values will take a LONG time to recover. (See

By posting this I don't for a second imply that I agree with this opinion, but it makes for great conversation. What do you think? Somebody give me their take on this thing!


St. George Musical Theater Raises $165k in one Night?!?!?

by Jeremy Larkin

The plan of course, was to raise $50k, which was a noble goal in and of itselt. As a matter of fact I saw on the news this week that a University of Utah fundraiser put together something like $70-$80k, which is no small sum.

Can you imagine $165,000 big ones (including donations in kind) being raise for the St. George Musical Theater? one night!?!?!?! Well believe it, and I was pleased to witness it.  That is just plain HUGE!!

If you didn't make it, Dick Nourse "MC'd" the even, which headlined well-known Utah musicians such as Alex Boye and George Dyer.  Alot of wild opinons and commentary have been floating around about the theater for the past 2 years as they have contemplated their future in an effort to raise funds for their new location.  I am personally a huge fan, and as a Real Estate Professional, see ALOT of value in having community theater in our area. 

I challenge all reading this who are able to join the "give a grand" cause to get the Theater into a new home. CONTACT ME direct for more info or feel free to comment here!

Theater Info:

Displaying blog entries 1-2 of 2




Contact Information

Photo of Jeremy Larkin - The Larkin Group Real Estate
Jeremy Larkin - The Larkin Group
Keller Williams Realty
50 E 100 S, Suite 300
St. George UT 84770
Fax: 435-359-5085

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